Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.2%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 9:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 1000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 2500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if CBMM's installed nameplate capacity for high-purity niobium oxide (Nb2O5) at the Araxá complex exceeds 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Maximum annual output of high-purity / battery-grade / electronic-grade Nb2O5 that CBMM's Araxá complex is currently commissioned to produce, in metric tonnes per year.
- Excludes technical-grade Nb2O5 or FeNb-conversion oxide not separately identified as a high-purity stream.
- Data timing: Capacity changes are announced via CBMM press releases when new plant is commissioned; no reporting lag is required.
- Resolution uses most recently announced installed capacity as of December 31, 2026.
- CBMM press releases or sustainability reports confirm installed high-purity Nb2O5 capacity exceeds 10000 tpa as of December 31, 2026
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if CBMM's installed nameplate capacity for high-purity niobium oxide (Nb2O5) at the Araxá complex exceeds 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026.