Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 9:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 1000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 2500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketUS gas prices this week
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if CBMM's installed nameplate capacity for high-purity niobium oxide (Nb2O5) at the Araxá complex exceeds 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Maximum annual output of high-purity / battery-grade / electronic-grade Nb2O5 that CBMM's Araxá complex is currently commissioned to produce, in metric tonnes per year.
- Excludes technical-grade Nb2O5 or FeNb-conversion oxide not separately identified as a high-purity stream.
- Data timing: Capacity changes are announced via CBMM press releases when new plant is commissioned; no reporting lag is required.
- Resolution uses most recently announced installed capacity as of December 31, 2026.
- CBMM press releases or sustainability reports confirm installed high-purity Nb2O5 capacity exceeds 10000 tpa as of December 31, 2026