Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
One-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79.3%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 9:46 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if CBMM's installed nameplate capacity for high-purity niobium oxide (Nb2O5) at the Araxá complex exceeds 500 tpa on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Maximum annual output of high-purity / battery-grade / electronic-grade Nb2O5 that CBMM's Araxá complex is currently commissioned to produce, in metric tonnes per year.
- Excludes technical-grade Nb2O5 or FeNb-conversion oxide not separately identified as a high-purity stream.
- Data timing: Capacity changes are announced via CBMM press releases when new plant is commissioned; no reporting lag is required.
- Resolution uses most recently announced installed capacity as of December 31, 2026.
- CBMM press releases or sustainability reports confirm installed high-purity Nb2O5 capacity exceeds 500 tpa as of December 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if CBMM's installed nameplate capacity for high-purity niobium oxide (Nb2O5) at the Araxá complex exceeds 500 tpa on December 31, 2026.