Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
137
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 2, 23, 8:09 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes if, by the end of 2029, Apple officially announces that it will release a car.
- This does not require that the car be released or available by that date.
- Similar market: https://manifold.markets/TatianaSurver/will-apple-announce-the-launch-of-a?referrer=JoelSteadman
- Background: https://www.macrumors.com/roundup/apple-car/
- Acceptance criteria: Apple publicly announces some car model (rather than some sort of add-on that can be added to any car) under their brand that is purchasable by consumers.
- Apple relying on another manufacturer for most of the engineering, but brands it as partially their own.