Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.2% as of October 22, 2026.

When does Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026? resolve?

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If apple announces it but it is not available for purchase to the general public by close, that won't count.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $80,500 or above98.5%
• $80,000 or above99.5%
• $79,500 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.7M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 280-299+35.0pt57%
• 300-319+5.5pt21%
• 260-279-11.5pt17%

+23 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $77,000 or above+2.0pt98.5%
• $76,000 or above+1.0pt98.5%
• $75,500 or above+1.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 22, 2026?

• San Francisco+25.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+24.0pt99.5%
• Albuquerque-3.0pt

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt13.8%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.8pt14.1%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-2.1pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 22, 2026?

• 70° to 71°+33.0pt76.5%
• 72° or above-8.0pt21.5%
• 68° to 69°-21.0pt

• BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
• ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Google market share this week
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 22, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 22, 2026?
• Next James Bond actor?
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
• ETH price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?