Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 1:50 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
Won
Lost
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PolymarketRules
Any type of foldable phone launched by Apple will resolve to Yes.
- Update 2025-10-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Launched" means the foldable phone must be available to purchase in 2026 (not just announced).