Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82%
Forecasters
43
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 9, 23, 9:25 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Polymarket stop using the UMA protocol by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhen will the Eco currency start being used in the ECOWAS?
FutuurWill any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Manifold MarketsConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiAlaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
KalshiRules
Paper currency must no longer be accepted as local legal tender (excl foreign currency exchange, ofc), officially and in common practice.
- The change can be to metal, hard plastic, digital, barter, or whatnot.
- Notably, plastic "paper" does not count: it cannot be a change to different soft foldable sheets, no matter the underlying material.
- Resolves YES if a country newly makes such a change (after creation date: Sept 9, 2023), or NO after close.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.3K
- 24h Vol
- $24.4K
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270098%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3K
- 24h Vol
- $11.6K
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+1.8pt31.5%
- $524K - $530K+13.8pt25%
- $530K - $536K-21.3pt15.7%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+14.6pt37%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? resolve?
- Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Paper currency must no longer be accepted as local legal tender (excl foreign currency exchange, ofc), officially and in common practice.