Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 77%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Apr 18, 23, 3:23 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
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+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $745.8K
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+7 more outcomes
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- 160-179+3.5pt23.5%
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+23 more outcomes
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $32.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? resolve?
- Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.