Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 55.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 2:36 PMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes56%
Volume trend
$30Jul 132d of dataJul 14
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.