KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 82%
No 82%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$167.1
Open interest
$1.7K
Low open interestBid / Ask
18.0% / 23.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleMar 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
No82%
Yes18%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Boston have a 3 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India have a Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Boston have a 2 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Boston have a 3 Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich New York City restaurants earn a Michelin star in 2026?
KalshiWhich New York City restaurants move from one Michelin star to two or more in 2026?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Michelin
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
