Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 55%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 16, 24, 11:56 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
- Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this