Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.3%
Forecasters
140
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 5, 22, 9:21 PM UTCJan 2, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2031, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? resolve?
- Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.
- How is Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2031, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
