![Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Flastuserhere%252Fe0f90ec98c52.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2034 88.9%Leader of 11 outcomes
2034 88.9%Forecasters
63
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 24, 9:22 AM UTCDec 30, 33, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRules
Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.
- The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive.
- That's all that matters.
- i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.
