Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers??

Manifold Markets prices Will not happen before 2030 at 40.1% as of October 22, 2026.

When does Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers? resolve?

Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

How is Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Add your answers, please include their current handle.

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,500 or above+5.0pt98%
• $76,500 or above99.5%
• $77,000 or above+3.0pt99%

+47 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.5M

24h Vol

$844.3K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 280-299+30.5pt62%
• 260-279-7.0pt36%
• 300-319-9.6pt2%

+23 more outcomes

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.4pt14.8%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.6pt13.5%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-1.8pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.5pt86%
• Anthropic-4.5pt13%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 16.6%+24.0pt95%
• Above 19.0%+41.0pt35%
• Above 18.0%+22.0pt

KALSHI

BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $690 or above99%
• $630 or above+3.0pt99.5%
• $660 or above+59.0pt72.5%

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• Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
• Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
• Next James Bond actor?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 8am EDT?
• Meta market share this week
• Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 23, 2026?