Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 41.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 8, 25, 9:33 PM UTCOct 8, 30, 9:32 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Does not count temporary glitches/hacks/exploits.
- Must hold the net worth for at least 24 hours, and I'm counting legitimate loans against/for that net worth.
- (I may change this if I find that my criteria already puts someone past 10 million.)
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Manifold-owned accounts (accounts tied to manifold.markets development or management) do not qualify for resolution.
- Only independent users are eligible.