Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTampa, FL 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 26, 12:36 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PolymarketWhere will Waymo operate before 2028?
KalshiWhere will Waymo be available in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many countries will Waymo operate in on January 1 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity/waymo-new-city/kxwaymocity-26dec
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.