PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
12-15 46.1%-8.8ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$22.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+41.8 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time.
- Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
- Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
- If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
- The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.