When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections??

Manifold Markets prices Later than this/never at 33.3% as of November 4, 2026.

When does When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections? resolve?

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The USA presently regards prediction markets to be illegal gambling for elections.

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POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No+0.1pt97%
• Yes-0.1pt3%

Total Vol

$24.9M

24h Vol

$110.4K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt94.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202792.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-5.0pt91.5%

POLYMARKET

Texas enacts data center moratorium by which date?

• 2028+4.0pt35%
• 202722%
• June 30, 2027+3.0pt18%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

• No98.5%
• Yes-9.0pt1.5%

Total Vol

$36.4K

24h Vol

$24.2K

POLYMARKET

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

• No-0.8pt92%
• Yes+0.8pt8%

Total Vol

$69.9K

24h Vol

$16.5K

KALSHI

Will the Clarity Act become law?

• Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt17%
• Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt13.5%
• Before Jul 1, 2027-4.0pt

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