When will the TSA update their security regulations to permit carrying liquid bottles over 300ml on commercial flights ?
One-OffRegulation2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast2024 1%-0.1%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
36
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJan 26, 24, 10:51 AMDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM
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Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
20241%
Volume trend
$2.2kJul 192d of dataJul 20
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This rule has to aply to all average US citizen flight passengers on US flight, a specific TSA PreCheck rule wouldn't address this query.
- If individuals like criminals or those under observation are excluded from this regulation, the question would still be resolved "YES".
- International flights are NOT relevant to this question.
- The resolution of this question will be based on the announcement and will be determined by the year this rule takes effect.
- A minimum bottle size of over 300 ml is specified, a rule allowing up to 300 ml would not resolve this question.
- If the TSA undergoes a name change or another organization is responsible for this decisions, it won't impact the outcome of the question.