Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2026 Q4 20.4%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 25, 12:05 PM UTCOct 2, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolve to the calendar quarter (JST) in which Nintendo first confirms that production of all Nintendo Switch (Switch, Switch – OLED Model, and Switch Lite) has ended for Japan.
- If Nintendo issues only “will end production” language with a future date, resolve using the stated effective date.
- If pages update without visible dates, use the earliest reliable press coverage that quotes/archives the Nintendo page.
- (Example precedent: Nintendo announced Wii U domestic production end via its site, then press reported it.)
- Close date is provisional, more options will be added if 2027 Q4 gets close and production has not ended.