Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingJan 20, 25, 11:38 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The Nintendo Switch has been a massive commercial success, according to Wikipedia, selling 146 million units since its 2017 release (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_game_consoles/ https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html).
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the total worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch 2 exceed the total worldwide sales of the original Nintendo Switch by December 31, 2030.
- Resolution will be based on official sales figures reported by Nintendo or reliable industry sources.
- Considerations (AI Generated)
- The Switch 2's success will depend on various factors, including:
