When will electric cars (BEV+PHEV) pass 50% market share in the UK?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will electric cars (BEV+PHEV) pass 50% market share in the UK??

Manifold Markets prices 2029 at 20.6% as of October 22, 2026.

When does When will electric cars (BEV+PHEV) pass 50% market share in the UK? resolve?

When will electric cars (BEV+PHEV) pass 50% market share in the UK? is scheduled to resolve on January 10, 2030.

How is When will electric cars (BEV+PHEV) pass 50% market share in the UK? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The proportion of new cars sold in the UK which are either fully electric (BEVs) or which are plugin hybrids which can be used as though they were fully electric (PHEVs) has been rising sharply over the past few years, though this growth slowed down last year:

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KALSHI

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• No95.9%
• Yes-2.1pt4%

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$197.8K

24h Vol

$106.6

MANIFOLD MARKETS

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• No84.5%
• Yes15.5%

Total Vol

$1.6K

24h Vol

$298.4

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Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

• Yes64%
• No36%

Total Vol

$78

24h Vol

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

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• Yes50.1%
• No49.9%

Total Vol

$1.1K

24h Vol

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Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

• No88.7%
• Yes11.3%

Total Vol

$356.4

24h Vol

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

• No52.1%
• Yes47.9%

Total Vol

$18.9

24h Vol

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