Current community forecast
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%Leader of 10 outcomes
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 24, 7:23 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The market will resolve positively when any Manifold question or comment is posted by a human user who at the time is located in space, i.e. above Karman line, 100 km above the Earth surface.
- Both orbital and suborbital flights qualify.
- The account posting the question or comment has to be tied to a real person of whom it is publicly known that they were in space at the time.
- If you are in space right now, please leave a comment under this question, this will simplify the resolution.
- If I happen to fly to space while this question is not yet resolved, I will attempt to do it there.
- I do not bet on my own questions.