Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast40 - 50% 39.9%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Feb 17, 25, 8:58 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market is the same as this one but uses different buckets and is about a different benchmark.
- The best performance by an AI system on EnigmaEval as of December 31st 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- This resolution will use https://scale.com/leaderboard/enigma_eval as its source.
- If the number reported is exactly on the boundary (eg. 10%) then the higher choice will be used (ie. 10-20%).
- Which AI systems count?