What are the current odds for Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date?

Manifold Markets prices Before April 2027 at 86.5% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date resolve?

Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.

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Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date

One-OffAI Tech5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Before April 2027 86.5%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+36.5 pts

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Oct 28, 26, 3:52 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The '+' means any version at or above K3.2 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.2 and releases Kimi K3.3 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market.

Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3.2, will also count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
Open, non-selective waitlists count.
Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

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Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date

Kimi K3.2+ (Moonshot) release date

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