Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.8%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMay 11, 23, 7:56 PM UTCDec 20, 97, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
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PolymarketRules
See this Sixty Symbols video.
- This market closes when scientific consensus has reached near certainty on this issue, either by finding a black hole, or by exploring the solar system enough that it's considered essentially impossible.
- Close date on this market will be extended indefinitely.
- Note that potential man-made black holes, such as those some have proposed could occur in particle colliders, do not count.
- This question refers to black holes as might be found by astronomers.
