Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleSep 11, 26, 1:26 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Unsong musical be good?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year
KalshiRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
KalshiRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
Kalshi#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18)
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve YES if the 2026 film "Digger" contains over three instances of a character singing a unique song in the manner commonly associated with musicals.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three+1.0pt12%
- Digger11%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.7M
- 24h Vol
- $158.3K
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
- 40–45M-7.4pt52.9%
- 45–50M+21.0pt43.1%
- 50M+-2.4pt2.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- I Play Rocky-33.0pt21.2%
- The Debut+18.0pt20.4%
- Wild Horse Nine10.6%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $44.4K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+1.0pt25.7%
- Rick Devens-1.0pt19.5%
- Yash Patel+2.0pt19.5%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden-17.2pt34%
- No Bond chosen-1.4pt21.4%
- Callum Turner+6.2pt14.6%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt57%
- Callum Turner-2.0pt34%
- Jack Barton-1.0pt16%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Contender Series: Ravello vs Cavalcanti
- Resident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- The Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Forgotten Island · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is Digger (2026) a musical??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Is Digger (2026) a musical? resolve?
- Is Digger (2026) a musical? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Is Digger (2026) a musical? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if the 2026 film "Digger" contains over three instances of a character singing a unique song in the manner commonly associated with musicals.