Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 60%
Forecasters
74
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 23, 24, 8:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
[image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.
- To address survivorship bias, if the musical never happens, I will ask the creators why not.
- If they say that they cancelled it because it was going to be too hard to make it any good, I will resolve NO.
- If it was shelved for any other reason, I will resolve N/A. THE FINE PRINT:
- When summing results of multiple polls I will weigh the two equally, not in proportion to # of respondents.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Unsong musical be good??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 60% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will the Unsong musical be good? resolve?
- Will the Unsong musical be good? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the Unsong musical be good? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.