In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?
One-OffCommoditiesScienceManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2050 34.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingNov 17, 23, 4:49 PM UTCDec 31, 50, 10:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Currently the majority of hydrogen available is produced through some form of hydrocarbon decomposition.
- A reverse process however - for example catalytic conversion of hydrogen and CO2 into methane - is also possible and would create a renewable source of hydrocarbons, which will be increasingly valuable as fossil fuels become more expensive.
- Resolves YES if in a given year the mass of hydrogen used up in such processes exceeds the mass derived from hydrocarbons.
