Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast2030 or later 50.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleSep 1, 23, 6:14 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be dream recording videos on YouTube (with 100K or more views) by 2040?*
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KalshiRules
This question resolves if any YouTube video displaces Baby Shark Dance as the most-viewed YouTube video of all time, or if we reach the year 2030 with Baby Shark Dance still undefeated.
- At the time this question was written, Baby Shark Dance has 13 billion views.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most-viewed_YouTube_videos
