In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
EntertainmentOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.1%
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 19, 26, 12:08 PM UTCApr 30, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsEbenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRules
EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".
- It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good.
- The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
