Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 66%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 24, 10:22 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves by the end of 2030 if 50% or more of new car sales in Brazil are of electric cars.
Open markets
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- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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- 24h Vol
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- Total Vol
- $95.8K
- 24h Vol
- $95.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt88.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt9.2%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Sergio Moro83.8%
- Sandro Alex-2.0pt16.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 more outcomes
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- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In 2030, will most new car sales in Brazil be electric cars??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In 2030, will most new car sales in Brazil be electric cars? resolve?
- In 2030, will most new car sales in Brazil be electric cars? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is In 2030, will most new car sales in Brazil be electric cars? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves by the end of 2030 if 50% or more of new car sales in Brazil are of electric cars.