Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 2:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026
Manifold MarketsWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
LimitlessWill Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+2.5pt96%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.5K
- 24h Vol
- $795K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.0pt96%
- 65-89-29.9pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt19.8%
- 160-179+5.0pt18.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.8%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
- Above 90.0 TWh95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.5K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.5K
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- What will Chewy say during their next earnings call?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Stripe acquires OpenRouter by EOY, will it be for ≥$10B??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does If Stripe acquires OpenRouter by EOY, will it be for ≥$10B? resolve?
- If Stripe acquires OpenRouter by EOY, will it be for ≥$10B? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.