If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.5%
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Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingApr 24, 26, 9:52 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements.
- If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading.
- An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.