Current community forecast
Yes 30.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:56 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes31%
Volume trend
$257Jul 82d of dataJul 9
Related Markets
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$209.5KUnited Russia (ER): 55%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
$7.5KFarage 70–80%: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
$4.9KJean-Luc Mélenchon: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
$1.5KConservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSOn what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
$1K2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich party will win the second Clacton by-election from now?
$737Reform UK: 63.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph
Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.