Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIPO 50.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJun 16, 23, 2:01 AM UTCJun 16, 30, 2:01 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Exit valuation of HockeyStack (YC S23)?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRules
bankruptcy is running out of money and shutting down, not necessarily legal bankruptcy
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $66.1K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.3pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.8%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will supabase exit or end??
- Manifold Markets prices IPO at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How will supabase exit or end? resolve?
- How will supabase exit or end? is scheduled to resolve on June 16, 2030.
- How is How will supabase exit or end? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: bankruptcy is running out of money and shutting down, not necessarily legal bankruptcy