Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 17 to 20 (11.4%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 4:27 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
17 to 20
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Probability Timeline
1 to 33%
4 to 61.4%
7 to 93.4%
10 to 124.1%
13 to 165.1%
17 to 2011.4%
21 to 2413.8%
25 to 3013.9%
31 to 3613.9%
37 to 4213.9%
43 to 488.2%
49 or more8%
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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PolymarketRules
I am starting a position at new to me (and my company) client tomorrow.
- I do not know the current contract length, however I suspect it is 6 months.
- I have signed a 7 month lease in WA per instruction from my boss.
- In my adult life, I have worked for 1 consulting company for a bit over 5 years, during which I have been placed at 5 clients for the following lengths of time:
- CA Client - 4 months
- WA Client - 14 months
