KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $185 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 9:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 8:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above $22099%
Above $22599%
Above $23095%
Above $2401%
Above $2351%
Above $185Won
Above $225Lost
Above $220Lost
Above $210Lost
Above $200Lost
Above $195Lost
Above $190Lost
Above $215Lost
Above $205Lost
Above $230Lost
Above $240Lost
Above $235Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above $185
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $225
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 225 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $220
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 220 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $210
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $200
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $195
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $190
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $215
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 215 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $205
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $230
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 230 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $240
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 240 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $235
- If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 235 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.