Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.9%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 4, 24, 10:42 AM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2031.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be (this question)
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b
