What are the current odds for First to land humans on the moon again??

Manifold Markets prices China at 47.7% as of November 3, 2026.

When does First to land humans on the moon again? resolve?

First to land humans on the moon again? is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2036.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

China 47.7%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+5.9 pts

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

Jan 31, 24, 2:00 AM UTCDec 1, 36, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.