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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 71.4%
Yes 71.4%Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingMar 16, 23, 6:55 PM UTCAug 11, 22, 9:43 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Manifold MarketsRules
This is a permanent market; it will never resolve.
- The goal is for you to use it to express your own opinions and/or turn a profit by predicting other people's opinions.
- Bet YES if you're in favor of the subject of the market or believe other people will come to have a more favorable opinion of it in the future, bet NO if you view the subject of the market unfavorably or believe others will come to view it as such.
- This market is about Effective Altruism.
