Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (51%)
Resolved: Oct 16, 2026, 2:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes51%
No49%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes or no, no percentage resolution unless both are 50/50 on the resolution poll I'll open.