Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 90%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 23, 1:31 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Approx 50m kids under 12 now and about 78m dogs.
- For any reason.
- Includes new US borders if they change based on continuity of government.
