Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end?
One-OffSociety & Culture4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 20, 26, 3:22 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
I'm considering something under ~100 USD.
- It's already very hot for this time of year, and there's no AC in the building.
- Resolves YES if I wish I had not bought the AC, resolves NA if I never make a purchase, and resolves NO if I buy a mini/portable AC and am satisfied with that choice.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AC doesn't work well but the purchase still seemed reasonable given the information at the time, this will still resolve YES (regret).
Open markets
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- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
- 24h Vol
- $6.8K
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- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
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- No+3.5pt77.2%
- Yes-3.5pt22.8%
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- Yes6%
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- No2%
- Total Vol
- $600
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? resolve?
- Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Conditional on buying a personal mini-air-conditioner, will I regret the purchase come summers-end? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I'm considering something under ~100 USD.