Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.7%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 3:26 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:10 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these goals will I achieve before I graduate high school?
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PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRules
As many of you know, I am currently enrolled in a New York (State) private school.
- After the @/realDonaldTrump/am-i-screwed-read-desc incident, along with a bunch of other, let's say, interesting stuff that my school administration has done, I've decided to go to public high school after I graduate middle school this year.
- Here's my reasoning:
- Pro-private (random order):
- I have friends there and I haven't been in the public school system for 4 years
- It's a nice campus, they have good food, etc.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40-7.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $29.4K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane89%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Renoir84%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.3K
- 24h Vol
- $287.1
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] resolve?
- Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As many of you know, I am currently enrolled in a New York (State) private school.