By 2030, will any US company be more valuable than the (other) top 5 tech companies combined?
Business & CorporateOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingNov 23, 22, 6:38 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla be the most valuable US company by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a single company in S&P 500 have larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2030?
Manifold MarketsDid tech companies spy on you through device microphones?
Manifold MarketsWill a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
Resolved based on market cap.
- If the top valuable company is a tech company, it needs to be more valuable than the next 5 most valuable tech companies.
