A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 60% as of October 20, 2026.

When does A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material resolve?

A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2034.

How is A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: To Earth by 2034

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POLYMARKET

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

• 202781%
• June 30, 2027+0.5pt27%
• 2026+3.3pt5%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$69.6K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.4pt78.2%
• Anthropic-7.5pt19.8%
• Meta+0.3pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 798.5%
• Above 8+2.0pt98.5%
• Above 699.5%

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 202876%
• Before May 1, 2027-3.0pt56.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt

KALSHI

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers

• JAY-Z+39.0pt95%
• Beyoncé+44.0pt67%
• Rihanna+30.0pt

KALSHI

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

• United States-1.5pt56.5%
• China+0.1pt30.6%
• Russia+0.1pt1.9%

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• How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
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