Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Other (99%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastOther 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
144
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 19, 25, 8:24 PMJul 26, 26, 12:07 AM
Probability Timeline
Janet Mills0.4%
Ryan Fecteau0%
Cathy Breen0%
Aaron Frey0.1%
Graham Platner1.1%
Jordan Wood0.4%
Other99%
99%
0.4%
0%
0%
0.1%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Other
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall78% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $309.7K | $28.9K | 49 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | yesterday |
Also available on Kalshi
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
0.6 ptsClosed
Resolved
Graham Platner (100%)
+0.6pt98%
1%
1%
+6 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$6.2M
24h Vol$309.7K
KALSHIRules
Susan Collins (R-ME) is up for reelection in 2026.
- Which Democrat will face her?
- (Feel free to suggest additions, though I'll only add people who I subjectively think have a >2% chance of winning.)
- Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot, not the primary election result.
- This accounts for potential candidate replacements after the July deadline.
- Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot as the Democratic nominee, not necessarily the primary election winner.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$159Jul 811d of dataJul 20
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Susan Collins (R-ME) is up for reelection in 2026.
- Which Democrat will face her?
- (Feel free to suggest additions, though I'll only add people who I subjectively think have a >2% chance of winning.)
- Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot, not the primary election result.
- This accounts for potential candidate replacements after the July deadline.
- Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot as the Democratic nominee, not necessarily the primary election winner.