MI-07 Democratic nominee?

4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitics Election US Politics1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

William Lawrence 84.2%+4.0pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Market quality

74 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$4.1K

Liquidity

$225.4K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 19 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

William Lawrence85%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Bridget Brink wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

If William Lawrence wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Matt Maasdam wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Large trades

$1.4k68.0%

KALSHIWilliam Lawrence — Yes3d ago

$1.2k81.0%

KALSHIBridget Brink — No8d ago

$2.7k32.0%

KALSHIBridget Brink — No22d ago

Volume trend

$4.1k

Jul 325d of dataJul 27

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MI-07 Democratic nominee?

4.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitics Election US Politics1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

William Lawrence 84.2%+4.0pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Market quality

74 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$4.1K

Liquidity

$225.4K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 19 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

William Lawrence85%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Bridget Brink wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

If William Lawrence wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Matt Maasdam wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Large trades

$1.4k68.0%

KALSHIWilliam Lawrence — Yes3d ago

$1.2k81.0%

KALSHIBridget Brink — No8d ago

$2.7k32.0%

KALSHIBridget Brink — No22d ago

Volume trend

$4.1k

Jul 325d of dataJul 27

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MI-10 Republican nominee?