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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

0.6% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Graham Platner (100%)

Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, 1:55 AM

Winning Outcome

Graham Platner

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

100%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Graham Platner
Graham Platner 100%+0.6%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$28.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Aug 19, 25, 11:31 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Graham Platner98%
Andrea LaFlamme1%
David Costello1%
Janet Mills0%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 8Jun 8Jun 9
Outcome24hChance
David Costello
David Costello
1%
Andrea LaFlamme
Andrea LaFlamme
1%
Graham Platner
Graham Platner
+0.6%
100%
Janet Mills
Janet Mills
-0.9%
0%
Jared Golden
Jared Golden
0%
Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson
-0.4%
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Manifold MarketsAlso available on Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?

4mo
Manifold Markets
Janet Mills
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Ryan Fecteau
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Cathy Breen
0.1%

+4 more outcomes

Community forecast129 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$277.1K
24h Vol$459.2
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Rules

If Jared Golden wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Troy Jackson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Janet Mills wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Dan Kleban wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Chellie Pingree wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jordan Wood wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If Jared Golden wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Troy Jackson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Janet Mills wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Dan Kleban wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Chellie Pingree wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jordan Wood wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.