KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityWalter "Jay" Clayton 1%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 4.0%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMAug 8, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Walter "Jay" Clayton1%
Volume trend
$2.4kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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If Scott Bessent is the first person confirmed as Governor of the IMF before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
- If Casey Means is the first person confirmed as Surgeon General before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brett Matsumoto is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of Labor Statistics before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Billy Long is the first person confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Walter "Jay" Clayton is the first person confirmed as U.S.